Political Observation - The Events in Lebanon

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم

Political Observation - The Events in Lebanon

The tax that the Lebanese telecommunication minister proposed on calls made via social media apps such as WhatsApp was the spark that ignited the protests against the Lebanese government. For the tenth day in a row, the Lebanese republic has been witnessing protests calling for improving the standards of living and toppling the clique of corruption exemplified in the government and the icons of the regime, especially those affiliated to 8 March Forces such as Hezbollah, the Amal Movement and General Aoun, the president of the republic. The popular dynamism has also targeted the leaders of the so-called 14 March Forces headed by prime minister Saad al-Hariri. 

 

Perhaps most strikingly, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have so far avoided any official comment on the current events in Lebanon. This reluctance stems from the fear of any possible sectarian exploitation by the target party, the 8 March coalition. There is also the issue of the slogan hoisted by the popular dynamism: "Every one of them means every one of them" that implies a will to go beyond specific persons to the Taif agreement governing political life since 1989. The agreement no longer meets the aspirations of the post-civil war generations in addition to the fact that the sectarian conflict has achieved its mission in destabilizing and exhausting the Arab societies as well as establishing regional alliances, particularly the Gulf alliance with the Zionist entity under the pretext of the Iranian boogeyman.

Furthermore, the United States has sought to curtail the role that Iran has been playing in Iraq and Syria after it accomplished its part in securing the stability of Iraq in accordance with the US directives, as well as creating a balance that prevented the fall of the Syrian regime and compelled the opposition factions to rely on the US. Moreover, Iran has had a hand in defusing the political tensions in Lebanon with Saudi complicity evident in al-Hariri’s loss of parliamentary majority, the weakening of his government and the suspension of funding leading to an economic depression in Lebanon while holding the symbols of the regime, especially the 8 March forces who hide behind al-Hariri, as responsible for the downturn and the falling living standards. They have also been preparing the public opinion for change in line with the reshuffling and restructuring phase, which is expected to last almost as long as the deconstruction phase.

It is worth noting that, considering the current events, the deal of the century requires targeting the weapons of the so-called resistance, such as Hamas and Hezbollah. This explains Hassan Nasrallah’s concerns and his support of al-Hariri’s government, and him linking the collapse of the resistance with the collapse of the state of Lebanon. Something he believes will drag the country into a civil war by dragooning the use of weapons against his compatriots, which will legitimize foreign intervention in the event that the conversion of his party into a political movement and putting its weapons under the umbrella of the Lebanese army does not bear fruit.

It should also be noted that one of the merits of the solution in Syria is to reduce the presence of militias that support the Syrian regime, most important of which is Hezbollah’s militia.

It is worth mentioning as well that the US control of the world economy through the international financial institutions, sanctions and influence has created a favorable climate and a fertile ground for the uprising of peoples who are aimless and easily controlled, and whose movement is easily misappropriated, even if this popular dynamism is not guided. Therefore, the popular explosion in Iraq and Lebanon and the aggravation of the situation in Jordan was only due to an economic attack aimed at impoverishing the people and pushing it towards the desired direction. An estimated $800 billion has been looted from Iraq since the ousting of Saddam Hussein. Jordan's wealth and resources have been sold at the lowest prices. Seven wealthy Lebanese people are worth a combined $13.3 billion, which is ten times as much as what half of the Lebanese people are worth, and 1% of Lebanese population has more wealth than 58% of it.

The Lebanese conundrum and the issues in the entire Islamic region is the result of the continued success of the great powers of kufr in keeping the Ummah away from its religion, and their continued control of its fate. Going back to living under the light of Islam and its teachings will free the Ummah from those shackles and will put an end to this state of backwardness and fragmentation that it has been living under, and it will make it a proud ummah, leading humanity to the light once again. 

 

27 Safar 1441h
26 October 2019