Regional Political Dynamism: Integrating "Israel"
بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
Political Observation - The Regional Political Dynamism in the Area
A sequence of events with diverse political dimensions took place in the past month. All such events however intersect with a central issue, namely arranging the paperwork for integrating "Israel" into the region in the security and military aspect now that the locomotive of its economic and cultural integration has departed from the gate of the Emirates and its political integration through the normalisation agreements with Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan, and what is being heralded in terms of normalisation with Saudi by means of the latter’s expected decision to allow "Israeli" airlines to fly over the kingdom’s airspace to the Emirates, or perhaps transporting the hajis from the 1948 territories to Saudi, and through the file of Tiran and Sanafir islands which are expected to initiate a direct communication channel between Saudi and "Israel", especially since the issue of the two islands falls within the security arrangements for the entire region in the context of confronting the alleged Iranian threat, the tackling of which warrants a military and security bloc between "Israel" and the Gulf States, Egypt and Jordan.
In his interview with retired Lieutenant General Herbert MacMaster, who hosts the programme Battlegrounds, at Hoover Institution, Stanford University, king Abdullah II warned of a Russian vacuum in Syria which Iran would be striving to fill, and consequently, fanning the flames of the “drugs war” and reopening the floodgates for the “threat of terrorism”. And during the past two weeks, "Israel" has intensified its attacks and provocations against Iran, assassinating some Iranian officials including officers of the Revolutionary Guards, and pounding Damascus Airport and taking it out of service under the pretext that it was used by Iran and the Syrian regime to ship weapons to Hezbollah.
Moreover, in a remarkable and advanced step, "Israel" deployed a radar system in the Emirates and Bahrain which prompted a threat by the commander of the Iranian Air Force, Ali Reza Sabahi, who warned of the fallouts for the security of the Gulf States.
The Israeli move came in tandem with America's withdrawal of air defense systems from Saudi, despite the repeated attacks by the Houthi militia on Saudi and the Emirates, as well as what is known as the "Tanker War".
This suggests the presence of a prior US-Israeli-Gulf arrangement for Israel to fill the security vacuum, integrate it into the regional security and justify Arab-“Israeli” normalisation and alliance; and this is the file Biden will be carrying on his visit to Saudi to meet with the leaders of Egypt, Jordan, Iraq and the Gulf States.
It is noted that all of this is occurring in light of the exaggeration of the Iranian threat and the faltering of the negotiations’ process on the Iranian nuclear file in Vienna, which is being orchestrated to the tune of the progress in the Arab-“Israeli” normalisation and alliance process which hinges on the pretext of the Iranian threat. It is also occurring in light of the Jordanian-Israeli agreements on “water for electricity”, power grid interconnections and the gas pipeline from Egypt through Jordan and Syria to Lebanon, and in light of the talk in recent days about a Jordanian ten-year economic vision which includes establishing a regional transportation network and signing major economic agreements between the Emirates and "Israel", in addition to the political stalemate in Iraq and Lebanon due to the crackdown on the political forces linked to Iran, and the recent agreement between the Democrats and the Republicans in the US on the need to integrate the air defence network between Egypt, "Israel", Jordan and the Gulf States.
The omens of the exaggerated Iranian threat and the escalation by the "Israeli" government were reflected in the statements of prime minister Naftali Bennett who said “the revival of the nuclear treaty with Iran does not necessarily prevent Israel from taking action against Iran and on its own,” while the usurping entity’s defence minister Benny Gantz affirmed that “Iran does not stop trying to build advanced infrastructures of firepower aimed at developing capabilities for a wide confrontation with Israel”, claiming that “Iran is attempting to widen her influence in the region by arming several groups in the region,” and that “Tehran is a few weeks away from accumulating enough fissile material sufficient for one nuclear bomb.” The "Israeli" defence minister called for establishing a regional force led by the US to confront Iran; and this is the crux of the matter and the pivot around which all the recent political activities revolve, despite the propaganda dimensions of the coalition which the "Israeli" prime minister envisages from his escalation with Iran, and even though exaggerating the Iranian threat is harnessed by America to contain "Israel", influence its policy, and rein it in. In this context, Middle East Eye mentioned on 17 June that “the secret coordination mechanism asks Israel to provide details of planned missions to Centcom in advance, with the command then conducting a review and briefing the US secretary of defence and chairman of the joint chiefs of staff who perform their own assessments.”
In light of all these facts, there is talk of a forthcoming war in the region, with "Israel" and its allies from among the Arab countries on one side, and Iran and its militias on the other. Some of them are drawing a host of scenarios for this war ranging from launching deadly strikes on a bank of targets in Iran, while Iran's surrogates in the region, such as Hezbollah and its militias in Syria, launching attacks on "Israeli" targets. In fact, some "Israeli" sides are warning "Israelis" of thousands of Hezbollah’s missiles shelling "Israel", and "Israel" responding with a crushing blow targeting Lebanon’s infrastructure. However, the eruption of a limited war with Iran to justify and entrench the Arab-"Israeli" alliance and to undermine public opinion and extreme right-wing political parties in favour of new coalitions more fitting to US interests, could not be ruled out but is unlikely in light of the international conditions, the Russian war on Ukraine, the economic crises and the global high prices of energy and food.
Hence, it is no longer a secret that hinting at the eruption of this war is rather designed to downsize Iran to the point where it would keep her as a scarecrow for the countries of the region, especially the Gulf States, until the integration of "Israel" in the region becomes a reality imposed through defense agreements, thus allowing "Israel" to directly oversee the capabilities and facilities of the countries of the region in a manner ensuring its existence, security, and military and economic interests.
As for Iran, it is a pivotal country in US Middle Eastern policy, and she has always been harnessed by America as a scarecrow and a substitute for Saddam Hussein's regime; and she has even been assigned the tasks that are consistent with her regional ambitions to concretise the notion of sectarian difference and turn it into an armed conflict between the Muslims themselves, and to dismantle the Ummah and plunge the region into bloody wars on sectarian grounds whenever necessary.
And as each agent is dealt with once the need for his function has been exhausted by restoring him to his original role and stripping him of all his gains, America is proceeding with clipping Iran’s wings in parallel with the process of the regional solution and the integration of the Zionist entity into the region; thus, the economic pressures and "Israeli" military strikes against Iranian soldiers in Syria are but a prelude to restoring Iran back to her functional square.
20 Thil Qi’dah 1443h
20 June 2022