The Dimensions of the Nuclear Agreement Between Iran and the Sexpartite Group
Bismillah al-Rahman al-Raheem
The Dimensions of the Nuclear Agreement Between Iran and the Sexpartite Group
Several vociferous statements of support, rejection and apprehension poured in as an "historic" agreement was reached after 21-month marathon negotiations between Iran and the 5+1group on 14 July on the Iranian nuclear file, which had caused a great deal of diplomatic and political pandemonium, and threats of military action for 12 years.
US president Barack Obama defended the agreement in a televised statement from the White House and described it as an "historic agreement" between Iran and the major powers because it has blocked all avenues in the face of Iran's possible acquisition of nuclear weapons and stopped the spread of nuclear weapons in the Middle East region. Obama pledged to veto any attempt by congress to block the agreement with Iran and confirmed that the nuclear deal paved the way for a new direction in the relationship with Teheran.
As for Iranian president Rouhani, he attempted to market this agreement domestically as having achieved all the aims expected from the negotiations with the major powers, which include preserving and the nuclear technology and pursuing the nuclear programme within Iranian territories, in addition to lifting the bans and the sanctions, rescinding all the Security Council resolutions issued against Iran and removing the Iranian nuclear file out of Chapter 7. Rouhani deemed the agreement a new page in the history of the region, based on dialogue as a benchmark for defusing crises; he also mentioned that the agreement was fair and balanced with no win or loss for any of the stakeholders.
America is well aware that Iran has never constituted a threat to her national security and her strategic interests, because since Khomeini came to power after he had concluded a deal with America in France, in the presence of former US Attorney General Ramsey Clark, Iran has been nothing but a big stick that protects America's interests and entrenches her influence in the region, despite the slogans of animosity towards America with which it has been hoodwinking the masses and the quasi-politicians and intellectuals. Nonetheless, what are America's aims from concluding this nuclear deal with Iran?
1 - Increasing the tension between the countries of the region to weaken them by driving a wedge between the Muslims and destroying the possibility of their unison:
An international deal with Iran, the head of the "Shia" Crescent", would give the "Shia" of the region who have by and large responded to the sectarian strife with the backing of embargo-stricken Teheran, a shot in the arm. This would have an impact on their fanaticism as they fight their brethren and remove the demoralisation that had started to creep into the psyches of some of them; it would also deal the efforts of the sincere and wise individuals from among them, who had been promoting the necessity to refrain from being embroiled in the strife and involved in a dirty war against their brethren instead of directing their animosity towards the Jews and the Americans a heavy blow. This is why the media machine, an acquiescent tool in the hands of America and the Kafir West, has been striving to magnify what it portrays as a victory to Teheran in her lengthy struggle for the sake of her nuclear file and for lifting the embargo imposed upon her, in order to overstate her capabilities and allow America to exploit this narrative through her tools and their surrogates to deepen the rift between the people of the region and perpetuate the struggle among them until the objective is achieved, namely weakening the Muslims by killing their youths and squander their riches on purchasing weapons to increase the killing and destruction and to fragment the region to maintain it under America's dominion. Hence, now that the nuclear deal has been concluded, Iran will devote her efforts to serving the American interests in the region, especially in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen.
2 - Sending shivers down the spines of "Israel" and the Gulf states to lure them further into the American embrace:
American is well aware that an Iranian nuclear threat to "Israel" and the Gulf states has been nonexistent either before or after the agreement. However, the agreement has terrified "Israel" and the Gulf states further since it has resulted in maintaining the Iranian nuclear installations intact and with an international blessing. This will keep the Iranian nuclear threat looming and compelling "Israel" and the Gulf states to plunge deeper into the American policies and initiatives.
Hence, it should not come as a surprise if the stance of "Israel" and the Gulf state were a blend of fear and bitterness, be it in respect of mainstream public opinion or the governments which allegedly express the views of the masses. And although Barack Obama has pledged to stand by "Israel" in the face of any Iranian or "terrorist", the "Israeli" prime minister deemed the agreement Iran had reached with the major powers over her nuclear file "a historic mistake"; Benyamin Netanyahu pledged to work towards hampering Iran's nuclear ambitions. He added: "Iran will win the jackpot, a cash bonanza worth hundreds of billions of dollars that will flow into Iran's terror and war machine in the region and the world. Iran's nuclear deal is bad mistake of historic proportions."
As for the Gulf rulers, they were flabbergasted and speechless; the media outlet in there described the agreement as very bad because it would allow Iran to wreak further havoc in the region now that her nuclear file has been removed from the international agenda and her right to maintain her nuclear installations and to have the sanctions lifted has been acknowledged.
Although America has reached an agreement with Iran over her nuclear file, US secretary for defence Ashton Carter however mentioned on 22 July 2015 during his Middle East tour to reassure America's agents that Washington would not rule out resorting to military force against Iran in case the latter pursued her bid to produce nuclear weapons. Furthermore, America has raised yet again the issue of establishing an anti-missile shield in the Gulf states to avert the threat of Iranian missiles. This indicates that America continues to exploit the card of the alleged "Iranian threat" to achieve her strategic aims in the region; these include exhorting the Gulf states to spend heavily on American weapons and military equipment to defend themselves against imaginary threats that America had concocted to keep them under her thumb.
3 - Continuing to Plunder the oil of the Region Including Iran's and Depleting the Economies of the Gulf States:
Therefore, the Iranian nuclear agreement is calamitous for the Gulf states, not only because it has approved the Iranian nuclear facilities and failed to remove the spectre of nuclear weapons from the minds of the region's rulers, but also because it has lifted the sanctions imposed on Iran and paved the way for her return to the international oil market, thus heralding a catalogue of disputes within OPEC. The drop in oil prices has led OPEC to increase production by more than its daily target of 30 million barrels. The Iranian nuclear target has come to reopen Teheran's huge reserves of oil and gas before Western companies. This is expected to intensify the rivalry between Iran and the Gulf states in order to gain a share in the market; as for the former, it will be to rebuild her economy and come out of isolation, whereas the latter will seek to compensate for the losses they have incurred due to the price drop. Iran possesses the fourth largest oil reserve in the world and it has not been exploited because of the international sanctions; this has allowed Saudi to increase her output in the international oil markets. However, the nuclear deal with Iran will impact negatively on the Gulf states especially Saudi whose economy relies on oil export by 93%. Saudi is also dreading the nuclear agreement because she is facing a budget deficit as oil prices dropped t0 $53 a barrel and due to the war on the Houthi in which America implicated her; this explains why Aal Saud are worried about their survival and their ability to protect the borders of the kingdom in the middle-term.
4 - Europe is set to reap the benefits of lifting the sanctions on Iran especially when replacing the Russian market with the Iranian one to make up for the losses she incurred due to the sanctions imposed on Russia. Now that the sanctions are lifted, European companies will be able to conquer the Iranian market; in fact, the continued low oil prices will bolster the economies of the European states especially those facing a downturn like Greece; and this in turn will lighten the burden the Eurozone is experiencing. The gains that Europe will reap indicate America's pleasure with Europe's response to her policies.
12 Shawal 1436h
28 July 2015