Political Observation - Side Aims of the Qatari Crisis

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم

Political Observation - Side Aims of the Qatari Crisis

The Link between Qatar’s Siege and Pressure on Europe

When Saudi, Egypt and the UAE decided on behalf of America to cut their ties with Qatar and impose a blockade on it, the US administration was expecting her to respond swiftly to America’s conditions. However, the support she has received from Turkey and major European states headed by Germany with their call for dialogue and the lifting of the siege prompted Trump, with the operations team at the Pentagon, to up the ante against Qatar and accuse her of "sponsoring terrorism". This amounted to a clear warning to Turkey and Europe against backing Qatar lest the charge of terrorism should implicate them.

Should Qatar drag her feet in complying with America’s conditions and should Europe refuse to budge, the American plan would have a host of repercussions that may go beyond Qatar and reach mainland Europe on two levels:

1 - Qatari gas supplies may be jeopardised once Qatar is compelled to export gas to Europe via the Cape of Good Hope should the Qatari oil tankers be prevented from crossing the Suez Canal amid the continued rift between Egypt and Qatar. This would delay deliveries to Europe and Asia due to the distance of the supply routes being trebled via the Cape of Good Hope. Russia would naturally jump on to this historic opportunity to increase her gas supply to Europe which has been struggling to break free from Russia's influence over her via energy supplies. Nevertheless, imposing an air, land and sea blockade on Qatar and accusing it of sponsoring terrorism to the benefit of Russian gas was not America’s objective; as soon as Qatar complies with America’s conditions, its gas exports to Europe and Asia will resume via the Suez Canal.

2 - The main objective America is seeking to achieve from the fallout of the siege on Qatar is halting Qatari investments in various European countries such as Britain, Portugal, France, and Italy along with Turkey and Brazil. Qatari overseas investments have reached $500 billion, not to mention secret investments estimated at around $1.7 trillion.

Hence, America wants to divert the flow of those funds, or most of them, towards America as she has recently done with Saudi by concluding a host of arms deals and astronomical investments during Trump’s visit to Riyadh. What confirms the issue of accusing Qatar of sponsoring terrorism to divert the flow of Qatari investments into Europe as being a deliberate American move by the Trump administration rather than being linked to Russian gas is Donald Trump’s trip ending at the Vatican where he raised the Qatari issue with Pope Francis. Trump wanted the backing of the pope who represents the Catholics, especially since Qatar has been investing heavily in several Catholic countries such as Italy, Portugal, and France. She owns 100% of the Italian brand Valentino and is the second largest shareholder in Versace in addition to the huge funds held by Qatari accounts in Italian banks. Hence, from the Qatari crisis, Trump wanted to reaffirm America's supremacy over the Middle East while imposing America's hegemony over the European continent, Asia, and Africa through the criminal and conspiratorial role undertaken by Saudi, the UAE and Egypt.

17 Ramadhan 1438h
12 June 2017