Political Observation - Outlook of the Plan to Re-elect Trump

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم

Political Observation - Outlook of the Plan to Re-elect Trump 

The outlook of the general plan to re-elect Donald Trump and the details of his campaign has become clear since the eve of Independence Day. America, which has been experiencing division due to the coronavirus pandemic followed by the protests against the killing of George Floyd, is now facing a political reality she has been denying for two centuries, namely that her entity was founded over the bodies and blood of Africans and Red Indians, and that her constitution was written on the basis of a compromise with slave owners. Such a political mechanism that seeks to achieve results without taking into account the method, nor the dangerous consequences and ramifications of destroying the values in order to conclude any kind of agreement, will eventually lead to the collapse of the philosophy of this hybrid state with the leave of Allah the Almighty. 

Donald Trump’s first campaign was based on fanning the flames of grievances and protests among the white population, especially among rural country women and white men, who gave him 87% of their votes, and on reversing the policy of retrospectivity under the tenure of the first US president of African origins (which gained white votes). His second campaign is similar to this but it has taken a clear path focusing on America’s cultural and historical identity, by entrenching and aggravating the whites’ fears of the forthcoming change and linking them to the destruction of the constants and components of the republic. He mentioned in his Independence Day speech: “Our nation is witnessing a merciless campaign to wipe out our history, defame our heroes, erase our values, and indoctrinate our children. Angry mobs are trying to tear down statues of our founders, deface our most sacred memorials, and unleash a wave of violent crime in our cities. Many of these people have no idea why they’re doing this, but some know what they are doing. They think the American people are weak and soft and submissive, but no, the American people are strong and proud and they will not allow our country and all of its values, history, and culture to be taken from them.” 

Hence, Donald Trump builds the plan of his re-election on the theme of “we are against everyone”, which is vague and ambiguous and means nothing to a sizeable section of society, thus giving ample denotations to make the largest number of various wings feel associated to it. 

By analysing his recent speeches, it transpires that Donald Trump is aiming to unite all the spectra of divisions and differences and to give them a platform to achieve their various interests and agendas. Trump and his powerbase do not view him as a president of the US but a president for those who vote for him. 

Trump will rely on 38-40% of US electors who will not give up on him and he has to fan the flames and sow tension to lure a chunk of the 60% currently lined up behind Biden by adopting three strategies: 

1 – Launching a personal attack on Biden, not to gain the votes of his supporters but to dissuade them from voting for him. 

2 – Putting forward a host of proposals and polices to attract an extra 8-10% of voters by convincing a chunk of independent or centrist voters that Trump is the lesser of the two evils; and here is where the policy of linking the Democrats to the deviant leftist thought comes in. 

3 – Exploiting the strategy of suppressing black voters and thwarting their intentions to vote for his opponent. And perhaps this is why American rapper Kanye West, a Trump supporter, announced that he would run for president in order to distract the voices of black voters and at least dissuade them from voting, especially amid the tense conditions against Trump due to the racist incidents. 

On the other hand, Trump aims to focus on the Electoral College to win 270 electors and he will not be too bothered about gaining the largest number of votes since this will be irrelevant as far as the US presidential election is concerned. Hence, it is too early to predict decisively the outcome of the US elections or to say that Biden’s position is favourable since he enjoys a 10% lead over Trump. The silence of senior Republicans and their reluctance to make any official and public announcements for or against Trump, and the continued huge amounts of free publicity he is receiving from corrupt media outlets, which distribute every single tweet Trump makes to ensure that they reach every single elector, means that Trump will remain in the psyche of the electors until polling day. 

The countdown has started for the 120 days left for election day but this does not mean anything because Washington will take a ten-day break and then get back to work; then there is the August holidays. Hence, the political work for the electoral campaign will start in September including the closing nominations of the candidates of the two parties. Then the campaign will continue throughout September and October with visits to the largest number of states possible. October is the month of surprises in which the aspects of the opinion polls being talked about today will be determined, and in which the tendency of the deep state and the scenarios of the forthcoming phase of the republic will also become clearer.

Hence, will the capitalist elite be content with what has been achieved during Trump’s tenure and stop supporting him, thus giving Biden the chance to tackle the issue of national harmony and reconciliation? Or will they continue to champion the policy of “America first” and demonise China and Russia in their quality as opponents who must be confronted to protect US interests? This will make the battle of the next US election, its tools and outcomes unprecedented, with repercussions inside and outside the US; and this is what the next few months will unravel. 

21 Thil Qi’dah 1441
12 July 2020