Political Observation - The Reality of the Saudi-Canadian Crisis

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم

Political Observation - The Reality of the Saudi-Canadian Crisis

The diplomatic row between Saudi and Canada has been gathering momentum on the international scene since Riyadh suddenly decided on Sunday 5 August 2018 to freeze trade and investment ties with Canada in response to the Canadian ambassador’s call for the release of political activists with secular inclinations held in the kingdom. Saudi rulers were not content with freezing trade ties; they declared the Canadian ambassador to Riyadh as persona non grata and gave him 24 hours to leave the kingdom. They also recalled the Saudi ambassador to Canada for consultations, suspended all flights to and from Canada and ordered 15, 000 students to return to Saudi in order to be relocated to other Western universities. 

What has prompted Saudi to move against Canada, especially as several Western states headed by America have launched scathing attacks against Saudi’s “human rights” record and the detention of Saudi activists in their annual reports and other occasions, and yet the kingdom never reacted in such a manner that belies in its magnitude the state of abjectness and subservience Aal Saud have been accustomed to in their relationship with Western states?

The current diplomatic row between Saudi and Canada has no connection whatsoever to the dignity of Saudi rulers which Mohammed bin Salman squandered under the feet of Ivanka Trump, and no connection to their rejection of Western meddling in the kingdom’s domestic affairs or to the concept of “sovereignty of the state” which those collaborating and treacherous rulers could not possibly perceive.

The Saudi reaction is a fabricated crisis that the Saudi rulers carried out to serve US interests in North America and the Middle East in general. Here are the details:

1- Toppling the Government of Justin Trudeau

Ever since Donald Trump took office, US-Canadian relations have been strained and the rift gradually widened. Donald Trump declared that he had been seeking to terminate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) since he deemed it unfair to the US economy. He then went on to impose tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber and dairy products, a move blatantly designed to impinge on NAFTA. For his part, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau filed a complaint with the World Trade Organisation (WTO) after official talks between Canada, the US and Mexico had collapsed.

Although NAFTA succeeded in trebling trade in goods among the three partners, the Trump administration still insists on terminating it. Donald Trump was not content with the aforementioned measure and he imposed tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminium under the pretext of protecting US national security. Trudeau’s Canadian government hit back with tariffs on several US products such as steel and aluminium products, orange juice, sailboats and motorboats. Canadian Foreign Minister, Chrystia Freeland, told a press conference on 29 June 2018 that the list of targeted US items was designed to provide an appropriate response based on reciprocal treatment, “We will not escalate, and we will not back down”, she stressed.

The diplomatic row concocted by Saudi against Canada has come to undermine the popularity of the current Canadian government and damage its credibility among the electorate by threatening its international trade with Saudi which totals around $4 billion a year. Moreover, Saudi’s decision to freeze the $15 billion arms deal concluded in 2014 with the Canadian conservative government will deal Trudeau’s government a heavy blow and will impact negatively on the Canadian electorate in respect of electing who will govern the country in the coming years as it may affect the Canadian job market. Since the latest opinion polls have forecasted a win for the liberals in the 2019 elections despite the margin of error being only 5 percentage points, it seems that America is seeking to topple the Trudeau government in the next elections and help the conservatives return to power as they see eye to eye with the Trump administration on several regional and international files.

2 – Propagating the "Deal of the Century"

The Trump administration deems it crucial to achieve worldwide approval for the "Deal of the Century,” especially among major powers, in the hope that other countries will recognise al-Quds as the capital of "Israel" following the American declaration on 6 December 2017 and the subsequent transfer of the US embassy to al-Quds. In this context, it seems that America is relying heavily on a right-wing conservative government acceding to power in the 2019 Canadian elections whose vision will match America’s in respect of settling the Palestinian issue. The Trump administration’s desire to see the Canadian rightwing in power and get rid of the ruling liberal party would help America ingrain one of the articles of the "Deal of the Century" pertinent to recognising al-Quds as a unified capital of "Israel"; and according to statements made by the Canadian conservative opposition party headed by Andrew Scheer, this party’s accession to power would be in the interest of US policies in the Middle East.

In a statement posted on its website on 26 February 2018, the conservative opposition party announced that it would recognise al-Quds as the capital of "Israel" if it defeated Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberals in the next election in 2019. To quote from the statement: "Canada's Conservatives recognise the obvious fact that Israel, like every other sovereign nation, has a right to determine where its capital is located. As such, a Tory government led by Andrew Scheer will recognise Jerusalem as Israel's capital when we form government in 2019."

America’s endeavour to help the Canadian conservative party accede to power in the next elections is reflected in the lukewarm reaction of the State Department vis-à-vis the Saudi-Canadian diplomatic row. During a State Department Press Briefing on 7 August 2018, acting Under Secretary and spokesperson, Heather Nauert, said: “We have a regular dialogue with the government of Saudi Arabia on human rights and also other issues. This particular case regarding Canada, we have raised that with the government of Saudi Arabia... both sides need to diplomatically resolve this together. We can't do it for them; they need to resolve it together.”

3 – Closing the Immigration File

Canada is deemed a global role model for open immigration in contrast to America and the European states except Germany. This policy has been a source of exasperation to the administration of Donald Trump who began his tenure by signing a host of decrees banning Muslims from entering America which led several Western countries to describe such decrees as racist and contributory to a much jingoistic agenda, especially against the Muslims.

Contrary to the American stance of slamming the immigration door shut, Canada announced in November 2017 that it would attract a million immigrants in the next three years. Canadian immigration minister, Ahmed Hussein, said immigration “strengthens our country and helps keep Canada globally competitive by spurring innovation and economic growth, and supporting diverse and inclusive communities.” Since the Canadian Liberal party pursues an open immigration policy and supports ethnic diversity, America under the Trump administration is viewed as a police state that contravenes the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights” (UDHR), and acts in a discriminatory and racist manner against Muslims despite the numerous references to “democracy, justice, equality and human rights” in the US constitution.

Based on the aforementioned, it would be in the interest of the Trump administration if the Canadian conservative party were to accede to power in the 2019 election since some of its members are rightwing such as Kelly Leitch who is fascinated by Donald Trump’s opinions on immigration. If the conservative party were to win the elections, it would introduce changes to immigration and nationality laws and freeze the plan to welcome a million immigrants adopted by the Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Finally, the diplomatic row between Saudi and Canada has demonstrated the extent of abjectness that Aal Saud have reached in terms of collaboration with America, conspiracy against Muslims and loyalty to the Kuffar in order to preserve the throne that Britain established for them as she established "Israel". The lowliness of Aal Saud is not only reflected in squandering the riches of the Muslims in Trump’s economic initiatives but also in disregarding the interests of Muslims and selling their pride in Saudi, Palestine and other parts of the world.

1 Thil Hijjah 1439
12 August 2018