Political Observation - Is there an International Struggle between America and Russia

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم 

Political Observation - Is there an International Struggle between America and Russia

The recent diplomatic crisis between Russia on the one hand and Europe and NATO member states headed by America on the other was triggered by the poisoning incident of Russian spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter on 4 March 2018. 

The strong reaction to the incident by Britain, America and Europe, the latter currently being embroiled in a trade war with America, could not be conceived unless the strategic threat Russia poses to the US was perceived. Russia is a nuclear power and she has adopted a new doctrine pertinent to her right to an immediate response should nuclear weapons be used against her; she has also been attempting to impede America’s plans for Central Asia and to take control of its oil and supply routes, notwithstanding the Sino-Russian strategic relations and, Russia’s support for Turkey and Iran since they represent the two most strategic gateways - the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea. Expelling dozens of Russian diplomats resulting in the closing of several Russian consulates by several European countries has come at the behest of the US who had sought to exert pressure on Russia and besiege her since she deems her as the second major factor impacting negatively on the progress of the American initiatives in the Islamic region. Despite the ostensible personal relationship between Trump and Putin, Russia, one of the main backers of Turkey’s rebellion against America and NATO, is impeding American manoeuvres in Syria, Afghanistan, the Ukraine, Crimea and other areas where Russian influence is manifest.

Hence, the issue of the Russian spy is not merely an assassination in which Russia in implicated but rather a scheme designed to reshape Western relationship with Russia within the framework that serves America’s interests since she is viewed as the architect of European military and security policies. The first aim which America is seeking to achieve by instigating the Russian spy incident is to compel Moscow’s arm into severing her tactical alliance with Turkey and comply with Western conditions on several regional and international files.

The circumstances and the timing corroborate the fact that the poisoning of the Russian spy was fabricated by Britain and her master America since Russia has nothing to gain from carrying out the assassination which is more likely to place her in awkward situation only days ahead of the Russian elections and a few months ahead of the World Cup. Moreover, Russia exchanged Sergei Skripal with Britain for Russian spies and had he posed a major threat to her national security, she would have killed him rather than handing him over to Britain in the first place.

Hence, the poisoning of the Russian spy and his daughter was most probably carried out by either British intelligence or its American counterpart, or both, in order to achieve the aforementioned aims, the most important of which is generating Western animosity towards Russia, thus compelling her to comply with American demands in international and regional relations. Russia is not the only country in possession of the nerve gas Novichok, which corroborates further America and Britain’s implication in the assassination. Britain is in possession of this nerve gas at her Porton Down military research facility that is incidentally few miles away from Salisbury where the Russian spy was assassinated. The exaggerated reaction of Europe and America reflected in the expulsion of tens of Russian diplomats and the closure of Russian consulates, which did not happen even at the height of the cold war between the Western and Eastern blocs, acts as yet another proof of Britain and America’s involvement in the poisoning incident.

Moreover, ambassador Nicki Haley, the US permanent representative to the UN, stated that the poisoning incident was not the only reason for the expulsion of Russian diplomats but also the Russian comportment in Syria and Ukraine as well as the activities of Russian intelligence officers in the US.

What worries America and her Western allies most is the role that Russia is undertaking in helping Turkey in her rebellious trends and her policies pertaining to ridding herself from the custodianship of NATO and the EU. This Russian stance poses a strategic threat to the West as it undermines the unity of NATO and its functionality throughout the world and may turn Turkey into a role model for other states seeking to break away from the Western custodianship system. Russia is effectively facing a blatant threat from America and her allies. The escalating tension we have recently witnessed and the ensuing diplomatic crisis and the further sanctions imposed on Russia are merely a prelude to a host of Western plots against Russia which aim to fragment Russian lands, dominate her resources and besiege her with a NATO security belt with which Russia’s links to Central Asia would be severed and her attempt to build oil pipelines away from areas dominated by the West akin to the “TurkStream” pipeline – which was built to avoid having Russian gas passing through Ukraine - would be thwarted.

However, it seems that the Kremlin rulers are aware of the Western plots. This is why Vladimir Putin turned defence into attack and declared during his speech on 1 March 2018 that Russia reserved the right to respond immediately saying “Any use of nuclear weapons against Russia or its allies, weapons of short, medium or any range at all, will be considered as a nuclear attack on this country. Retaliation will be immediate, with all the attendant consequences.”
However, despite the recent unfolding events, there is no international struggle between Russia and America over the international situation. Russia lacks the willpower and the means to topple America from her unilateral dominion over international decision- making and this does not constitute part of her plans in the foreseeable future. Russia is merely cooperating with America in certain files related to her interests and which do not impinge on her short-term or long-term national security. This is evident in Syria, Iraq, Libya and Egypt. This cooperation achieves a host of financial, military and political interests to Russia and at the same time helps somewhat the execution of the US agenda.

As for the apparent rifts between America and Russia, some of them are staged, such as the rift over Bashar Assad’s tenure or the military campaign against the Syrian opposition around Damascus, while others are genuine, such as the right of the Kurds to an independent state, the dominion over the oilfields or the borders of the areas of influence in Syria; this explains why America and her allies tend to target Russian armours and shell a number of Russian or Syrian positions. As for the other issues related to the areas close to Russia such as Central Asia (Afghanistan) and the Baltic region (the Ukraine and Crimea), the rifts are genuine because the point at issue is related to Russia’s own existence and to her national security. 

As for the Russo-Turkish relationship, it also constitutes one of the genuine rifts between Russia and America since the latter fears that Moscow’s alliance with Ankara may undermine NATO’s role in achieving America’s security interests. Hence, the noticeable tensions between America and Russia could either be genuine or fabricated; however, the genuine rifts are most of the time ironed out through trade-offs over outstanding issues between the two sides.

28 Rajab 1439h
15 April 2018 


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    As a result of Khan’s continued troublemaking behaviour towards the regime through the continuous demonstrations and his insistence on running for office and exerting popular pressure to dissuade the government and the army from disqualifying him, and after he had attracted tens of thousands of supporters in the march that began on October 28, and embroiled the masses into politics, which America prohibits despite the benefits it reaped from politicising the masses in terms of reshaping the domestic structures, harming or assassinating him, as was the case with some of his predecessors, purging his party of dissidents, and removing them from the political scene became a favourite option for his opponents. This is because the United States does not allow the masses to have an influential word in Islamic countries with large populations such as Pakistan, Egypt and Indonesia; thus, it entrusts the running of their regimes to the army and the collaborating leaders.

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    It is clear from the aforementioned that Imran Khan's behaviour has transgressed the rules of the domestic and foreign political game; on the day the popular march was launched against what he called the "imported government," he declared: "This nation is ready to make all sacrifices, but it will not accept thieves. The aim of the march is for the people to make decisions for themselves." This was in addition to his previous statement on May 23, when he called his supporters for a peaceful march to press for new elections and described the march as a "step towards protecting the country's sovereignty", and that "the vote that ousted him was a conspiracy organised by the United States."

    The assassination attempt on Imran Khan came after the assassination of Pakistani journalist Arshad Sharif on 23 October in Kenya. Arshad Sharif had been briefed by Imran Khan on the contents of the notorious letter from Pakistan's ambassador to Washington. Among the repercussions of the assassination attempt, it is expected that Imran Khan’s popularity will increase, pressure will increase on the government of Shahbaz Sharif and the Election Commission to prevent Imran Khan’s candidacy, and Khan will turn into a complex number in the political equation, and that the regime will resort to cosmetic changes under the pressure of societal unrest, which may provide a justification for the army to intervene and seize power in order to prevent events from getting out of control.

    The events may lead Pakistan to chaos and civil war, Allah forbid, especially since the geopolitical position of Pakistan constitutes a hotbed of tension for China, and it is feared that the United States will plunge Pakistan into chaos, and ignite fighting in the Pakistani-Indian border, and in the flank of China on the side of the Muslim East Turkestan, and embroil the Muslims in the midst of a war that is not theirs. This is what the United States has been doing and the whole West has practised in their dealings with Muslims in the absence of their guardian and their State.

    13 Rabi’ al-Thani 1444h                           hizbuttahrir.org
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